Brebeuf Jesuit
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #32
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #14
Noblesville Regional Rank #8
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 2.0%
Advance to Semi-State 6.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Circle City Conference Marion County Championship Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 411 488 380 405 548 711 466 501 451
Team Adjusted Rating 390 380 405 423 403 436 441 411
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Circle City Conference Marion County Championship Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
34  Lucy Wood 9 19:06 19:26 19:30 19:23 19:13 19:28 19:31 19:30 18:55 19:16
128  Emily Garten 10 19:57 19:19 19:47 19:56 19:24 19:45 19:48 20:03 20:01 20:43
202  Sophia Meier 10 20:22 20:24 20:27 20:41 20:44 20:25 20:14 20:11
381  Skylar Williams 12 21:06 21:11 20:38 21:38
483  Mary Michael Dunn 12 21:24 22:59 20:57 21:14 21:11 21:17 21:24 22:08
542  Hollis Carbrey 11 21:32 22:08 21:38 21:24 21:32 21:52 21:36 21:33 21:13
589  Audrey Sloan 12 21:40 21:08 21:15 21:05 21:25 21:47 21:29 21:44 22:07 21:51
628  Audrey Hamilton 10 21:48 20:45 21:54 21:32 21:47 21:58
745  Anna Dunn 9 22:07 22:40 22:05 22:25 22:00 22:13 22:08 21:46
785  Claudia Keller 10 22:13 20:33 22:25 21:51 22:07 22:38
812  Eva Fetahagic 10 22:18 24:42 23:57 23:07 22:28 22:11 22:21 21:55
840  Elizabeth Dolan 12 22:22 22:14 22:17 22:11 22:23 22:35
885  Kiki Valadez 12 22:28 22:45 22:14 22:35
1,147  Simone Jeffers 9 23:00 23:25 23:12 22:18 23:27 22:52
1,156  Talia Sicuso 9 23:02 24:02 22:50 22:30 22:53 23:19
1,210  Meredith Hershberger 10 23:10 23:00 22:31 22:52 23:39 23:06 22:59 23:44
1,261  Isabella Brothers 9 23:17 23:52 23:42 23:16 23:06 23:12 23:14
Amelia Roberts 10 23:30 23:58 23:37 23:35 23:21 23:25
Meaghan Keller 10 23:35 22:02 23:22 23:35 23:08 24:20 24:17 23:07
Sophia Corey 10 23:45 22:54 24:50 23:37
Grace Villavicencio 12 24:20 24:34 25:31 25:11 24:17 23:03 24:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 2.0% 14.9 378 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 6.6% 7.6 240 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.5 178 2.4 4.2 9.5 25.1 37.9 21.0
Sectionals 100% 3.4 86 0.0 15.5 26.0 58.0 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Wood 67.1% 33.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.2 66.4% 67.0%
Emily Garten 2.0% 69.3 0.1% 0.3%
Sophia Meier 2.0% 108.5 0.0% 0.0%
Skylar Williams 2.0% 158.5 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Michael Dunn 2.0% 175.1 0.0% 0.0%
Hollis Carbrey 2.0% 180.5 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Sloan 2.0% 184.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Wood 100% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 3.9 5.6 6.1 7.5 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.2 6.1 5.3 4.7 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.2 1.9 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Garten 96.5% 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 96.2% 96.5%
Sophia Meier 51.3% 67.1 0.0 0.0 47.9% 50.4%
Skylar Williams 6.6% 94.2 0.0% 0.2%
Mary Michael Dunn 6.6% 109.4 0.0% 0.0%
Hollis Carbrey 6.6% 115.9 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Sloan 6.6% 122.6 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Wood 100% 10.3 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.5 9.1 11.3 11.0 9.6 8.2 6.9 6.5 6.0 5.2 4.5 3.4 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Emily Garten 100% 30.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.8 100.0%
Sophia Meier 100% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Skylar Williams 100% 49.7 100.0%
Mary Michael Dunn 100% 58.2 100.0%
Hollis Carbrey 100% 62.3 99.9%
Audrey Sloan 100% 66.2 99.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lucy Wood 5.8 0.0 1.9 24.2 29.7 17.1 12.7 7.4 4.2 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.0
Emily Garten 13.1 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.8 5.7 9.8 11.6 15.8 32.1 15.7 3.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sophia Meier 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 6.9 26.2 31.3 18.0 7.1 3.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Skylar Williams 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.8 7.5 8.7 9.9 9.5 9.9 9.6 8.6 7.9
Mary Michael Dunn 27.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.3 4.1 5.0 5.6 6.3
Hollis Carbrey 30.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.3 3.4 3.9
Audrey Sloan 32.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.9